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We expect a $130 movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-04 05:00.

Based on past Japan Consumer Confidence news events there is a 88.89% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 35.7. A price movement of 13 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jan 05:00
08 Jan 05:00
30 Oct 05:00
02 Oct 05:00
29 Aug 05:00
01 Jul 05:00
29 May 05:00
02 May 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 166 pip movement on SM within 48 hours following the event release.

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We expect KW to trend downwards right now.

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