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We expect a 128 pip movement on DX within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect a 128 pip movement on DX within 48 hours following the event release at 30 Nov 13:00 UTC. We expect DX to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 30 Nov 13:00 UTC if the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 May 12:00
28 Feb 13:00
30 Jan 13:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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