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We expect a 12343 pip movement on UB within 2 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect UB to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect UB to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-03 15:00 if the released value is < 50.5. A price movement of 12343 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Nov 14:00
01 Oct 14:00
03 Sep 14:00
01 Aug 14:00
01 Jul 14:00
01 May 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards for the next 48 hours.

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