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We expect a 12 pip movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release.

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 80% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 0. A price movement of 12 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Nov 00:30
09 Jul 01:30
09 Apr 01:30
12 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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There is a 75% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards

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