Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect EMD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 0.1% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
17 Jun 12:30![]() |
17 Mar 12:30![]() |
16 Jan 13:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).