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We expect a $116 movement on USDJPY within 2 hours following the release of Balance of Trade.

Based on past Japan Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of USDJPY trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < ¥-360.4B. A price movement of 18 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Aug 23:50
21 May 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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