Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect MW to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect MW to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-08-21 23:30 if the released value is < 3.3%. A price movement of 78 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
19 Jun 23:30 |
17 Apr 23:30 |
20 Mar 23:30 |
17 Oct 23:30 |
22 Aug 23:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
