Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect CT to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect CT to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-08-19 12:30 if the released value is < 1.7%. A price movement of 170 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
15 Apr 12:30 |
21 Jan 13:30 |
15 Oct 12:30 |
17 Sep 12:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
