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We expect a $109 movement on BO within 48 hours following the release of Personal Income MoM.

We expect BO to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Personal Income MoM news events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.3%. A price movement of 248 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 May 12:30
26 Apr 12:30
26 Jan 13:30
22 Dec 13:30
30 Nov 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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