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We expect a 1 pip movement on ED within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Australia, we expect a 1 pip movement on ED within 4 hours following the event release at 19 Sep 01:30 UTC. We expect ED to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 19 Sep 01:30 UTC if the released value is > 10K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Aug 01:30
13 Jun 01:30
18 Apr 01:30
21 Feb 00:30
24 Jan 00:30
20 Dec 00:30
15 Nov 00:30
13 Sep 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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