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We expect a $1.196 movement on FV within 2 hours following the event release at 06 Sep 12:30.

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Canada, we expect a $1.196 movement on FV within 2 hours following the event release at 06 Sep 12:30. We expect FV to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 06 Sep 12:30 if the released value is = 5.7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jul 12:30
08 Mar 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Be very careful of upcoming volatility. We expect a $1.711 movement on BO.

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We expect PL to trend downwards today.

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