Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect a $0.356 movement on NG within 12 hours following the event release at 28 Jul 18:00. We expect NG to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 28 Jul 18:00 if the released value is = 0.25%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
16 Jun 18:00 |
28 Apr 18:00 |
17 Mar 18:00 |
27 Jan 19:00 |
05 Nov 19:00 |
16 Sep 18:00 |
29 Jul 18:00 |
10 Jun 18:00 |
29 Apr 18:00 |
29 Jan 19:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
