Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a $0.047 movement on HG within 4 hours following the event release at 10 Feb 13:30. We expect HG to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 10 Feb 13:30 if the released value is = 7.3%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
12 Jan 13:30 |
14 Sep 12:30 |
10 Mar 13:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).