Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect a $0.008 movement on 6C within 48 hours following the event release at 27 Jan 19:00. We expect 6C to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 27 Jan 19:00 if the released value is = 0.25%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
16 Dec 19:00 |
16 Sep 18:00 |
29 Jul 18:00 |
10 Jun 18:00 |
29 Apr 18:00 |
29 Jan 19:00 |
11 Dec 19:00 |
31 Jul 18:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
