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We expect 6S to trend upwards today with a 87.5% chance.

Based on the last 12 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events in United States, we expect 6S to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. We expect 6S to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 20 May 12:30 if the released value is > 43. A price movement of 1 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Apr 12:30
18 Mar 12:30
18 Feb 13:30
19 Nov 13:30
15 Oct 12:30
16 Jul 12:30
18 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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A final push expected on US30 as it starts approaching a price line of 33203.0000.

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