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We expect 6C to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect 6C to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect 6C to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 05 Oct 14:00 if the released value is > 56.3. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Aug 14:00
06 Jul 14:00
05 May 14:00
03 Apr 14:00
04 Mar 15:00
05 Nov 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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