Based on past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 85.71% chance of CC trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > A$10.3B. A price movement of 2,400 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
02 Sep 01:30![]() |
05 Aug 01:30![]() |
03 Jun 01:30![]() |
04 Feb 00:30![]() |
03 Dec 00:30![]() |
05 Nov 00:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).