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There is a 83.33% chance of USDCHF trending downwards

Based on past United States Personal Income MoM news events there is a 83.33% chance of USDCHF trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 0.3%. A price movement of 93 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Oct 12:30
31 May 12:30
26 Jan 13:30
22 Dec 13:30
30 Nov 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect CC to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

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We expect a $187 movement on CRD within the next 4 hours.

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