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There is a 83.33% chance of RTY trending upwards

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect RTY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < A$2.5B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jul 01:30
05 Jun 01:30
03 Apr 00:30
06 Feb 00:30
07 Nov 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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