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There is a 83.33% chance of CL trending downwards

Based on past Germany Ifo Business Climate news events there is a 83.33% chance of CL trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 95.3. A price movement of 30 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Jun 08:00
25 May 08:00
26 Mar 09:00
22 Feb 09:00
18 Dec 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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