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There is a 83.33% chance of BP trending downwards

Based on past Japan Balance of Trade news events there is a 83.33% chance of BP trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > ¥917.2B. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 23:50
17 Dec 23:50
17 Sep 23:50
18 Jun 23:50
17 Mar 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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After testing 300.0000 numerous times, Soybean Meal MAY 2020 is once again approaching this price point. Can we expect a bullish trend to follow?

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We expect PL to trend upwards for the next 48 hours.

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