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There is a 81.82% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect a $840 movement on GBPUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-01-24 03:00. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-01-24 03:00 if the released value is = 0.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Dec 03:00
31 Oct 03:00
20 Sep 03:00
14 Jun 03:25
26 Apr 03:00
19 Mar 03:00
23 Jan 03:00
31 Oct 03:00
22 Sep 03:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect KC to trend downwards today with a 72.73% chance.

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