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There is a 81.82% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards

We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 81.82% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 3%. A price movement of 49 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Dec 13:15
08 Sep 12:15
09 Jun 11:45
14 Apr 11:45
10 Mar 12:45
16 Dec 12:45
28 Oct 11:45
09 Sep 11:45
22 Jul 11:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Esperamos un movimiento en $265 del DX dentro de 48 después del evento publicado a las 2023-02-02 13:15.

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We expect CL to trend upwards today with a 70% chance.

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