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There is a 80% chance of ZR trending upwards

Based on past Japan Unemployment Rate news events there is a 80% chance of ZR trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 2.4%. A price movement of 41 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Oct 23:30
25 Apr 23:30
28 Feb 23:30
27 Dec 23:30
29 Nov 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $346.348 movement on USDCAD within 12 hours following the release of Unemployment Rate.

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We expect a $4.584 movement on ZR within 48 hours following the event release at 29 Nov 00:01.

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