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There is a 80% chance of NQ trending upwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect NQ to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NQ to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-06-19 23:30 if the released value is < 3.6%. A price movement of 202 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 May 23:30
17 Apr 23:30
20 Mar 23:30
22 Aug 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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