Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect ES to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-10-02 01:30 if the released value is < A$6.2B. A price movement of 55 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
03 Jul 01:30 |
03 Apr 00:30 |
06 Feb 00:30 |
07 Nov 00:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
