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There is a 80% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards

We expect a $430 movement on AUDUSD within 4 hours following the release of Balance of Trade at 2025-01-07 13:30. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-01-07 13:30 if the released value is > C$-0.9B. A price movement of 43 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Aug 12:30
06 Jun 12:30
04 Apr 12:30
07 Mar 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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There is a 75% chance of DX trending upwards

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We expect ZW to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

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