Based on past United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news events there is a 77.78% chance of TN trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 24.5K. A price movement of 102 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
12 Nov 09:30![]() |
16 Jul 08:30![]() |
11 Jun 08:30![]() |
14 May 08:30![]() |
16 Apr 08:30![]() |
19 Mar 09:20![]() |
22 Jan 09:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).