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There is a 75% chance of ZB trending downwards

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect a $326 movement on ZB within 48 hours following the event release at 2022-07-21 03:00. We expect ZB to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2022-07-21 03:00 if the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jun 03:00
28 Apr 03:00
18 Mar 03:00
18 Jan 03:00
17 Dec 03:00
22 Sep 03:00
27 Apr 03:00
21 Jan 03:00
18 Dec 03:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $1530 movement on GBPUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2022-07-21 03:00.

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