Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-16 12:30 if the released value is < 0.2%. A price movement of 19 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
17 Mar 12:30![]() |
14 Feb 13:30![]() |
16 Jan 13:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).