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There is a 75% chance of NG trending upwards

Based on past Japan Balance of Trade news events there is a 75% chance of NG trending upwards. A price movement of 1 could occur if the released value is > ¥-100.8B.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Aug 23:50
19 May 23:50
18 Apr 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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