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There is a 75% chance of KW trending upwards

We expect KW to trend upwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < -0.5%. A price movement of 54 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jan 07:00
22 Nov 07:00
19 Jul 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $380 movement on GBPUSD within the next 12 hours.

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NAS 100 is currently testing a level of 21905.2754. Will the breakout continue or will things reverse?

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