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There is a 75% chance of DX trending upwards

Based on past Canada Balance of Trade news events there is a 75% chance of DX trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > C$-0.9B. A price movement of 96 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Aug 12:30
06 Jun 12:30
04 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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