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There is a 66.67% chance of USDCHF trending upwards

We expect a $439 movement on USDCHF within 12 hours following the release of Durable Goods Orders MoM at 2025-09-25 12:30. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-25 12:30 if the released value is > -0.5%. A price movement of 35 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Jun 12:30
27 May 12:30
24 Apr 12:30
26 Mar 12:30
27 Feb 13:30
25 Oct 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect OJ to trend downwards today with a 77.78% chance.

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