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There is a 66.67% chance of SB trending downwards

Based on past United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of SB trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.1%. A price movement of 32 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Dec 12:00
05 Nov 07:00
18 Jun 11:00
07 May 06:00
26 Mar 12:00
07 Nov 12:00
19 Sep 11:00
01 Aug 11:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $1.026 movement on NG within 48 hours following the event release at 04 Feb 13:30.

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