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There is a 66.67% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards

We expect a $450 movement on GBPUSD within the next 4 hours. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the Ifo Business Climate events in Germany release because the released value is > 88.6. A price movement of 45 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Jun 08:00
24 Apr 08:00
27 Jan 09:00
25 Oct 08:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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