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There is a 66.67% chance of ES trending downwards

Based on past Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decison news events there is a 66.67% chance of ES trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = -0.75%. A price movement of 7,550 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Dec 08:30
18 Jun 07:30
19 Mar 08:30
12 Dec 08:30
21 Mar 08:30
13 Dec 08:30
21 Jun 07:30
15 Mar 08:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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