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There is a 66.67% chance of CL trending upwards

Based on past Euro Area Industrial Production YoY news events there is a 66.67% chance of CL trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -3.3%. A price movement of 250 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Jul 09:00
13 May 09:00
12 Feb 10:00
15 Jan 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Goldman Sachs Group Inc. moves higher to 302.65 in the last 45 days.

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We expect UB to trend upwards today.

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