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There is a 66.67% chance of BO trending upwards

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect a $106 movement on BO within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-05-20 04:30. We expect BO to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-05-20 04:30 if the released value is = 3.85%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Apr 04:30
18 Feb 03:30
05 Nov 03:30
24 Sep 04:30
06 Aug 04:30
18 Jun 04:30
19 Mar 03:30
06 Feb 03:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

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We expect a $28935 movement on EMD within the next 4 hours.

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