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There is a 66.67% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards

Based on the last 12 Personal Income MoM events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2024-10-31 12:30 if the released value is > 0.3%. A price movement of 47 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Aug 12:30
28 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $109 movement on BO within 48 hours following the release of Personal Income MoM.

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