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Be very careful of upcoming volatility. We expect a $250 movement on GBPUSD.

Be very careful of upcoming volatility because of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event later today. Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect a $250 movement on GBPUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 01 Aug 12:30. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 1678K. A price movement of 25 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Jul 12:30
03 Jul 12:30
27 Jun 12:30
13 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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