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Be very careful of upcoming volatility. We expect a $0.104 movement on HG.

Be very careful of upcoming volatility because of Canada Inflation Rate YoY news event later today. Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect a $0.104 movement on HG within 12 hours following the event release at 18 Sep 12:30. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 2%. A price movement of 4 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jul 12:30
15 May 12:30
21 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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