12 pip movement on USDCHF expected

12 pip movement on USDCHF expected

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in US, we expect a 12 pip movement on USDCHF within 2 hours following the event release at 01 May 14:00.
We expect USDCHF to trend down 2 hours following the event release at 01 May 14:00 if the released value is > 54.5

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Feb 15:00
 
03 Dec 15:00
 
04 Sep 14:00
 
02 Jul 14:00
 
01 Jun 14:00
 

* All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”)

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