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What to trade around the US Unemployment Rate news event

What to trade around the US Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in US, we expect EURUSD to trend down right now. Based on these past events there is a 75.0% of this.
We expect EURUSD to trend down for the next 2 hours because the released value is < 3.8%. A price movement of 29 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jun 12:30
 
04 May 12:30
 
03 Nov 12:30
 

* All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”)

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