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We may see GC trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

GC could trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Balance of Trade news events there is a 80% chance of this. This could happen only if the released value is > $-107B. The price movement may be as big as 1,089 pips.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Sep 12:30
02 Jul 12:30
08 Jun 12:30
04 May 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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A possible $0 movement on RU within 48 hours following the event release at 04 May 12:15.

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