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We expect USDCAD to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Canada, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 11 Oct 12:30 if the released value is < 10K. A price movement of 23 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jul 12:30
05 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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FRA40 is quickly approaching 5704.5000. We expect either a breakout through this line, or a rebound.

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We expect a $300.627 movement on USDCHF within 48 hours following the event release at 11 Oct 12:30.

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