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We expect USDCAD to trend downwards today with a 83.33% chance.

We expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 3. A price movement of 156 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 May 01:30
01 Apr 00:30
12 Mar 00:30
11 Dec 00:30
11 Sep 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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