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We expect UB to trend upwards with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, we could see a 253 pip movement on UB for the next 48 hours. UB could trend upwards for 48 hours because the released value is > -1

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Oct 00:30
12 Sep 01:30
08 Aug 01:30
11 Jul 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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