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We expect SI to trend upwards today with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect SI to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect SI to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 25 Aug 12:30 if the released value is < -0.3%. A price movement of 21 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 May 12:30
26 Apr 12:30
24 Mar 12:30
27 Jan 13:30
25 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $4.275 movement on SI within the next 2 hours.

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Light Sweet Crude Oil OCTOBER 2021 moves lower to 63.22 in the last 12 days.

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