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We expect SI to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1st Est events in France, we expect SI to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect SI to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 30 Apr 05:30 if the released value is = -3.5%. A price movement of 23 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Oct 06:30
28 Jul 05:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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